Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.867277 1.002521 1.148709 1.318070 1.508459 1.715451 1.957087
2024-12-29 0.688432 0.881143 1.107542 1.391294 1.735395 2.137043 2.639036
2025-01-05 0.537565 0.752280 1.023338 1.386355 1.854939 2.434105 3.198058
2025-01-12 0.428418 0.649344 0.946520 1.368004 1.941626 2.685217 3.710348
2025-01-19 0.350754 0.571619 0.886136 1.355357 2.023934 2.926601 4.218213
2025-01-26 0.302034 0.525273 0.859642 1.380983 2.153712 3.233630 4.827858
2025-02-02 0.261082 0.482863 0.831150 1.396777 2.265839 3.518751 5.420594
2025-02-09 0.226137 0.443702 0.801105 1.404176 2.362193 3.783339 5.995899
2025-02-16 0.202232 0.418990 0.789998 1.437980 2.498383 4.111532 6.679344
2025-02-23 0.178448 0.390340 0.768044 1.450315 2.599376 4.390113 7.301412
2025-03-02 0.149606 0.347137 0.714972 1.403650 2.599116 4.509703 7.684513
2025-03-09 0.137234 0.334202 0.714240 1.446536 2.748671 4.871518 8.460021
2025-03-16 0.124176 0.318186 0.706636 1.477722 2.883028 5.220843 9.241794
2025-03-23 0.117874 0.315775 0.724943 1.558155 3.108890 5.733129 10.313011
2025-03-30 0.103498 0.292658 0.699179 1.552600 3.180889 5.992319 10.983258
2025-04-06 0.089782 0.268414 0.667768 1.532332 3.223399 6.202136 11.579907
2025-04-13 0.078494 0.247834 0.641210 1.518376 3.275199 6.428779 12.213130
2025-04-20 0.071705 0.237513 0.635740 1.546621 3.408262 6.804048 13.116603
2025-04-27 0.064931 0.225880 0.625728 1.564026 3.520813 7.147420 13.978784
2025-05-04 0.058357 0.213445 0.612165 1.572180 3.614976 7.461213 14.801461
2025-05-11 0.054096 0.206924 0.611948 1.609425 3.769563 7.892841 15.851080
2025-05-18 0.049040 0.196901 0.601739 1.623014 3.876155 8.239376 16.760845
2025-05-25 0.041613 0.177523 0.564961 1.571600 3.843264 8.319774 17.187939